Monday, October 27, 2008

Poll update, 10/27

This last week or so, I'm going to post daily updates, just so that we can see any movement quickly.

Movement since last week: basically none. Georgia moves from McCain win to McCain likely, and North Dakota moves from Tossup to McCain likely.

In the tossup group, Indiana is now slightly on Obama's side, which would give Obama 375 and McCain 163, slightly better than last week.

Just to demonstrate how stable the race is, using's model, since 10/7, no state has flipped in either direction. The average poll has moved 0.5 pts (the median is 0.6) in Obama's direction. McCain has thrown the kitchen sink at him, and there's basically been no movement in 3 weeks.

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