Wednesday, October 29, 2008

Six days out

Just a quick update - today is insane around here. Not much movement in the polls, again, but a little.

Italicized states have trended (changed categories) towards McCain, bolded towards Obama.

McCain win: Utah, Wyoming, Oklahoma, Idaho, Tennessee, Alabama, Kentucky, Kansas, Nebraska, Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alaska, South Carolina, Arizona, Texas, South Dakota, West Virginia. Total: 142 EV (-10).

McCain likely: Montana, Georgia, North Dakota. Total: 21 EV (+13).

Obama likely: Ohio, Nevada. Total: 25 EV (+25).

Obama win: DC, Vermont, Rhode Island, Hawaii, New York, Illinois, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Maryland, Maine, California, Delaware, New Jersey, Iowa, Washington, New Mexico, Oregon, Michigan, New Mexico, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Minnesota, New Hampshire, Colorado, Virginia. Total: 286 EV (unchanged).

Tossup: Missouri, North Carolina, Indiana, Florida. Total: 64 EV (-28).

McCain is still at 163 in his two piles, Obama is up 25 and is at 311. Counting leaners in the tossup category (IN for McCain, NC, MO, and FL for Obama), they're at 174 and 364. Still.

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